Freight Market Softening Continues Into Year End

Australian road freight rates remain under pressure as market capacity outpaces demand growth heading into 2025.

newsfreightmarket

The Australian road freight market continues to experience softening conditions as supply outpaces demand heading into the new year.

Market Conditions

Current observations:

  • Spot rates: Down 5-10% from peak
  • Contract renewals: Flat to slight decreases
  • Fuel surcharges: Tracking lower diesel prices
  • Accessorial charges: Steady

Capacity Dynamics

Contributing factors:

  • Fleet investment during pandemic boom
  • Demand normalisation post-COVID
  • New market entrants
  • Improved vehicle utilisation

Sector Variations

Stronger Segments

  • Cold chain: Steady demand
  • Dangerous goods: Specialised premium holds
  • Time-critical: Service differentiation value
  • Regional last-mile: Limited competition

Weaker Segments

  • General freight: Competitive pressure
  • Bulk commodities: Volume fluctuations
  • Construction materials: Project delays impacting
  • Interstate linehaul: Capacity surplus

Operator Responses

Cost Management

Strategies in use:

  • Fleet right-sizing
  • Route optimisation
  • Fuel efficiency focus
  • Overhead reduction

Service Differentiation

  • Technology and visibility investment
  • Sustainability credentials
  • Service reliability emphasis
  • Value-added services

Outlook

Industry perspectives:

  • Gradual demand recovery expected
  • Some capacity rationalisation likely
  • Margins remaining compressed
  • Focus on operational efficiency

The market conditions underscore the cyclical nature of freight transport and the importance of operational discipline.